Recapitulemos¶
Pipelining¶
Hemos visto que algunos estimadores pueden transformar los datos y que algunos estimadores pueden predecir variables. También podemos crear estimadores combinados:
import numpy as np
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
import pandas as pd
from sklearn import datasets
from sklearn.decomposition import PCA
from sklearn.linear_model import LogisticRegression
from sklearn.pipeline import Pipeline
from sklearn.model_selection import GridSearchCV
# Define a pipeline to search for the best combination of PCA truncation
# and classifier regularization.
pca = PCA()
# set the tolerance to a large value to make the example faster
logistic = LogisticRegression(max_iter=10000, tol=0.1)
pipe = Pipeline(steps=[('pca', pca), ('logistic', logistic)])
X_digits, y_digits = datasets.load_digits(return_X_y=True)
# Parameters of pipelines can be set using ‘__’ separated parameter names:
param_grid = {
'pca__n_components': [5, 15, 30, 45, 64],
'logistic__C': np.logspace(-4, 4, 4),
}
search = GridSearchCV(pipe, param_grid, n_jobs=-1)
search.fit(X_digits, y_digits)
print("Best parameter (CV score=%0.3f):" % search.best_score_)
print(search.best_params_)
# Plot the PCA spectrum
pca.fit(X_digits)
fig, (ax0, ax1) = plt.subplots(nrows=2, sharex=True, figsize=(6, 6))
ax0.plot(np.arange(1, pca.n_components_ + 1),
pca.explained_variance_ratio_, '+', linewidth=2)
ax0.set_ylabel('PCA explained variance ratio')
ax0.axvline(search.best_estimator_.named_steps['pca'].n_components,
linestyle=':', label='n_components chosen')
ax0.legend(prop=dict(size=12))
Reconocimiento de caras con eigenfaces¶
El conjunto de datos utilizado en este ejemplo es un extracto preprocesado de «Labeled Faces in the Wild», también conocido como LFW:
"""
===================================================
Faces recognition example using eigenfaces and SVMs
===================================================
The dataset used in this example is a preprocessed excerpt of the
"Labeled Faces in the Wild", aka LFW_:
http://vis-www.cs.umass.edu/lfw/lfw-funneled.tgz (233MB)
.. _LFW: http://vis-www.cs.umass.edu/lfw/
Expected results for the top 5 most represented people in the dataset:
================== ============ ======= ========== =======
precision recall f1-score support
================== ============ ======= ========== =======
Ariel Sharon 0.67 0.92 0.77 13
Colin Powell 0.75 0.78 0.76 60
Donald Rumsfeld 0.78 0.67 0.72 27
George W Bush 0.86 0.86 0.86 146
Gerhard Schroeder 0.76 0.76 0.76 25
Hugo Chavez 0.67 0.67 0.67 15
Tony Blair 0.81 0.69 0.75 36
avg / total 0.80 0.80 0.80 322
================== ============ ======= ========== =======
"""
from time import time
import logging
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
from sklearn.model_selection import train_test_split
from sklearn.model_selection import GridSearchCV
from sklearn.datasets import fetch_lfw_people
from sklearn.metrics import classification_report
from sklearn.metrics import confusion_matrix
from sklearn.decomposition import PCA
from sklearn.svm import SVC
print(__doc__)
# Display progress logs on stdout
logging.basicConfig(level=logging.INFO, format='%(asctime)s %(message)s')
# #############################################################################
# Download the data, if not already on disk and load it as numpy arrays
lfw_people = fetch_lfw_people(min_faces_per_person=70, resize=0.4)
# introspect the images arrays to find the shapes (for plotting)
n_samples, h, w = lfw_people.images.shape
# for machine learning we use the 2 data directly (as relative pixel
# positions info is ignored by this model)
X = lfw_people.data
n_features = X.shape[1]
# the label to predict is the id of the person
y = lfw_people.target
target_names = lfw_people.target_names
n_classes = target_names.shape[0]
print("Total dataset size:")
print("n_samples: %d" % n_samples)
print("n_features: %d" % n_features)
print("n_classes: %d" % n_classes)
# #############################################################################
# Split into a training set and a test set using a stratified k fold
# split into a training and testing set
X_train, X_test, y_train, y_test = train_test_split(
X, y, test_size=0.25, random_state=42)
# #############################################################################
# Compute a PCA (eigenfaces) on the face dataset (treated as unlabeled
# dataset): unsupervised feature extraction / dimensionality reduction
n_components = 150
print("Extracting the top %d eigenfaces from %d faces"
% (n_components, X_train.shape[0]))
t0 = time()
pca = PCA(n_components=n_components, svd_solver='randomized',
whiten=True).fit(X_train)
print("done in %0.3fs" % (time() - t0))
eigenfaces = pca.components_.reshape((n_components, h, w))
print("Projecting the input data on the eigenfaces orthonormal basis")
t0 = time()
X_train_pca = pca.transform(X_train)
X_test_pca = pca.transform(X_test)
print("done in %0.3fs" % (time() - t0))
# #############################################################################
# Train a SVM classification model
print("Fitting the classifier to the training set")
t0 = time()
param_grid = {'C': [1e3, 5e3, 1e4, 5e4, 1e5],
'gamma': [0.0001, 0.0005, 0.001, 0.005, 0.01, 0.1], }
clf = GridSearchCV(
SVC(kernel='rbf', class_weight='balanced'), param_grid
)
clf = clf.fit(X_train_pca, y_train)
print("done in %0.3fs" % (time() - t0))
print("Best estimator found by grid search:")
print(clf.best_estimator_)
# #############################################################################
# Quantitative evaluation of the model quality on the test set
print("Predicting people's names on the test set")
t0 = time()
y_pred = clf.predict(X_test_pca)
print("done in %0.3fs" % (time() - t0))
print(classification_report(y_test, y_pred, target_names=target_names))
print(confusion_matrix(y_test, y_pred, labels=range(n_classes)))
# #############################################################################
# Qualitative evaluation of the predictions using matplotlib
def plot_gallery(images, titles, h, w, n_row=3, n_col=4):
"""Helper function to plot a gallery of portraits"""
plt.figure(figsize=(1.8 * n_col, 2.4 * n_row))
plt.subplots_adjust(bottom=0, left=.01, right=.99, top=.90, hspace=.35)
for i in range(n_row * n_col):
plt.subplot(n_row, n_col, i + 1)
plt.imshow(images[i].reshape((h, w)), cmap=plt.cm.gray)
plt.title(titles[i], size=12)
plt.xticks(())
plt.yticks(())
# plot the result of the prediction on a portion of the test set
def title(y_pred, y_test, target_names, i):
pred_name = target_names[y_pred[i]].rsplit(' ', 1)[-1]
true_name = target_names[y_test[i]].rsplit(' ', 1)[-1]
return 'predicted: %s\ntrue: %s' % (pred_name, true_name)
prediction_titles = [title(y_pred, y_test, target_names, i)
for i in range(y_pred.shape[0])]
plot_gallery(X_test, prediction_titles, h, w)
# plot the gallery of the most significative eigenfaces
eigenface_titles = ["eigenface %d" % i for i in range(eigenfaces.shape[0])]
plot_gallery(eigenfaces, eigenface_titles, h, w)
plt.show()
Predicción¶
Eigenfaces¶
Resultados previstos para las 5 personas más representadas en el conjunto de datos:
precision recall f1-score support
Gerhard_Schroeder 0.91 0.75 0.82 28
Donald_Rumsfeld 0.84 0.82 0.83 33
Tony_Blair 0.65 0.82 0.73 34
Colin_Powell 0.78 0.88 0.83 58
George_W_Bush 0.93 0.86 0.90 129
avg / total 0.86 0.84 0.85 282
Problema abierto: Estructura del mercado de valores¶
¿Podemos predecir la variación de los precios de las acciones de Google en un plazo determinado?